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The fifth presidential elections in Croatiamarker will take place on Sunday, December 27, 2009. A second round, if the conditions for it are met, will be held on Sunday, January 10, 2010.

Background and rules

After serving two consecutive five-year terms, the incumbent president Stjepan Mesić will not be eligible to run in the 2009 election.

The elections have officially begun on 4 November, with the start of the period for the collecting of signatures needed to become an official candidate. Each candidate had 12 days to collect 10,000 written signatures from citizens who are eligible to vote. After the 12 days expired, the signatures were verified and on November 18 the State Electoral Commission announced the 12 candidates that managed to collect the necessary amount of signatures. The next day the official 37-day campaign began and will last until 24 hours before the election day, which happens to be Christmas Day, midnight.

The first round will then be held on 27 December and, if no candidate obtains 50% + 1 vote, a second round will be held on 10 January 2010.

Each candidate can withdraw from the election at any time.

Mainstream political candidates

Most major political parties have nominated their candidates for president. The governing Croatian Democratic Union nominated Andrija Hebrang, a former vice-president of the Croatian government and former Minister of Health and Social Services. The main opposition party SDP held a primary on 12 July between Ljubo Jurčić, the former Minister of the Economy, Labour and Entrepreneurship and Ivo Josipović, a Professor of Law at the University of Zagrebmarker, a lecturer at the Zagreb Musical Academy and an SDP MP. Ivo Josipović won 64.78% of the vote and became the official candidate of the social democrats. The Croatian People's Party - Liberal Democrats nominated Vesna Pusić, the head of the parliamentary committee in charge of overseeing the negotiation process of Croatia and the European Union. The Istrian Democratic Assembly nominated Damir Kajin, their long time representative in the Croatian Parliamentmarker.

The major independent candidates are Nadan Vidošević, the president of the Croatian Economic Chamber, Milan Bandić, mayor of Zagrebmarker, Vesna Škare Ožbolt, former Minister of Justice and Dragan Primorac, former Minister of Education.

Party politics

Political party candidates were selected within party elections, or were elected by party bodies, and they are the only party's official candidates. All parliamentary parties have a policy to support only one candidate, and if their member announces an independent nomination, he or she automatically loses their party membership. Parliamentary parties that don't candidate their member for the president, usually publically support someone. These parties can be listed on the electoral list for the president, but sometimes their support is just a public endorsement. Regional-right wing HDSSB supported independent candidate Milan Bandić, and regional-centrist PGS supported independent Nadan Vidošević.

Independent candidates Nadan Vidošević and Dragan Primorac were expelled from HDZ for announcing their nomination.. On November 5 Milan Bandić announced his nomination and was automatically expelled from SDP, losing his position as a member of party's presidency and leader of the Zagreb branch of SDP.

After the election, the Constitution does not allow the President to be a member of any political party so he or she must resign from membership, if there is one.

Running candidates

Out of 19 persons who submitted signatures to the State Electoral Commission, 13 of them were regular, but one of them withdrew. The following people will run for Sunday, December 27, 2009 presidential elections.

Image:Milan Bandić 2009.jpg|Milan Bandić, mayor of Zagrebmarker elected on SDP list. He is an independent candidate for the President of Croatia, self described as social democrat but by many seen as populist. Submitted around 60,000 received signatures to the electoral commission on November 13.. He is supported by HDSSB.Image:Replace this image male.svg|Andrija Hebrang, candidate of the Croatian Democratic Union. Submitted around 140,600 received signatures to the electoral commission on November 16.Image:Josipovic_ivo_debate-closeup.jpg|Ivo Josipović, candidate of the Social Democratic Party of Croatia. Submitted around 117,000 received signatures to the electoral commission on November 16.Image:Replace this image male.svg|Damir Kajin, candidate of the Istrian Democratic Assembly. Submitted around 17,000 received signatures to the electoral commission on November 15.Image:Dragan_Primorac.jpg|Dragan Primorac, former right wing of HDZ, now independent candidate. Submitted around 35,000 received signatures to the electoral commission on November 16.. He is supported by Croatian Party of Rights.Image:Vesna_Pusić_25-09-09.jpg|Vesna Pusić, candidate of the Croatian People's Party - Liberal Democrats. Submitted around 47,000 received signatures to the electoral commission on November 16.File:Image is needed female.svg|Vesna Škare Ožbolt, independent candidate, supported by Democratic Centre - submitted 18,000 signatures to the electoral commission on November 16.Image:Replace this image male.svg|Nadan Vidošević, until nomination member of the governing HDZ Submitted around 31,000 signatures until November 15.. He is an independent candidate supported by Alliance of Primorje-Gorski Kotar.Image:Replace this image male.svg|Josip Jurčević - independent (far right) - submitted 14,000 signatures to the electoral commission on November 16.Image:Replace this image male.svg|Boris Mikšić - independent (right wing populist) - submitted 15,000 signatures to the electoral commission on November 16.Image:Replace this image male.svg|Miroslav Tuđman - independent (right wing) - submitted 18,000 signatures to the electoral commission on November 16.Image:Replace this image male.svg|Slavko Vukšić - canditate of the Democratic Party of Slavonia Plain - an enterpreneur, former deputy mayor of Našicemarker - submitted 12,500 signatures to the electoral commission on November 16.

Candidates that withdrew

  • Veljko Džakula - leader of non-governmental organization Serbian Democratic Forum and a candidate of three Serbian parties: Serbian People's Party, Democratic Party of Serbs and New Serbian Party - submitted 10,557 signatures to the electoral commission on November 16. He withdrew on November 17.
  • Denis Latin - liberal independent; famous Croatian TV-journalist announced his candidacy , but after several months he gave up .
  • Božidar Vukasović - independent (anti-corruptionist) - announced his withdrawal on 16 November.
  • Dean Golubić - independent (leader of the far right future political party National Democrats) - announced his withdrawal on 16 November.
  • Alka Vuica - singer and songwriter, supported by Green List of Croatia - received around 8,000 signatures reporting that 1485 of her votes were stolen and that she was offered to buy the rest of the missing votes.


Candidates who failed to collect 10,000 signatures

  • Stjepan Gnječ, representing the Economy Party (Gospodarska stranka) submitted 33,060 blank signature forms.
  • Sead Hasanović (also known as Braco Cigan from Željko Malnar's TV-show Nightmare Stage) - independent - received around 6,000 signatures.
  • Perica Jurič - independent (former co-founder of HDZ)
  • Mladen Nakić - independent (former officer of the Ministry of Defense (odjel Hrvatskog verifikacijskog središta) and former diplomat)
  • Filip Šundov - independent, chef
  • Ante Gotovac - socialite, TV personality and businessman.
  • Stjepan Kravarščan submitted only one signature to the electoral commission on November 13 and failing to ensure an official candidature.
  • Slobodan Midžić submitted no signatures to the electoral commission saying that he is seeks to represent a president of the SFR Yugoslaviamarker for the election of the president of the European Union. Madžić failed to nominate for 2007 parliamentary elections since his electoral list held the name of League of Communists of Yugoslavia, the party that does not exist.
  • Zahir Kurbašić - was nominated by the Women's Democratic Party but failed to ensure an official candidature.
  • Jurica Tucak - was the second person who came before electoral commission without signatures.


Opinion polls

First round

Date(s) Conducted Polling Organisation/Client Ivo Josipović Milan Bandić Nadan Vidošević Andrija Hebrang Vesna Pusić Dragan Primorac Vesna Škare Ožbolt Damir Kajin Josip Jurčević Miroslav Tuđman Boris Mikšić Slavko Vukšić Other/none
30 Nov Puls for Nova TV 25.3% 16.6% 16% 7.9% 5.8% 5.1% <5%></5%> <5%></5%> <5%></5%> <5%></5%> <5%></5%> <5%></5%> 9.5%
28 Nov Puls for Večernji list and RTL Televizija 29.2% 15.6% 13.2% 7.7% 4.8% 8.5% 2.6% 3.2% 1.5% 3.4% 0.4% 0.5% 9.4%
25 Nov Totus Opiniometar 16.1% 7.2% 13.8% 3.1% 2.5% 4.7% 0.6% 1.6% 1% 0.6% N/A N/A 33%
19 Nov Mediana Fides for Jutarnji list 27.6% 15.4% 12.7% 8.4% 6.0% 8.1% N/A 2.2% N/A 1.2% 1.1% N/A N/A
17 Nov Puls for T-Portal 28.1% 15.8% 14.4% 12.2% 7.2% 5.2% 1.1% 1.8% 1.3% 0.8% 0.3% N/A 11.4%
17 Nov Puls for Nova TV 26.4% 15.7% 14.9% 11.6% 8.6% 6.8% N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 14.5%
4 Nov CRO Demoskop 24.9% 14.5% 13.4% 9.4% 8.6% <4%></4%> <4%></4%> <4%></4%> N/A N/A N/A N/A 13.3%
4 Nov Totus Opiniometar 17.2% 9.7% 14.6% 5% 5.1% 2.2% 0.6% 1.6% 0.7% 1.1% N/A N/A 43.6%
31 Oct GfK for Jutarnji list 17.1% 15.2% 11.9% 9% 4.4% 3.9% 1.5% 3.5% N/A 0.6% 0.6% N/A 45%
31 Oct Puls for Nova TV 24.6% 17.6% 13.1% 11% 6.8% N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 9.1%
28 Oct Puls for T-Portal 28.5% 13.6% 12.7% 10.7% 7.2% 4.2% 4.6% 4.3% 2.3% 1.6% N/A N/A 10.5%
18 Oct Puls for Večernji list 26.6% 11.3% 10.8% 8% 9.2% 4.4% 5.9% 5% 1.3% 0.8% 1% N/A 10.5%
18 Sep Mediana for Jutarnji list 21.1% 14.7% 15% 8.3% 11% 3.3% N/A 4.5% N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
11 Sep Sinergie for SDP 26.4% 6.7% 13% 7.1% 4.4% N/A 4.2% 3.3% N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
1 Sep Puls for Nova TV 32.9% N/A 12.8% 7.3% 9.7% N/A N/A 6.9% N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
26 Aug Promocija plus for SDP 25% 10.5% 10.5% 12% 9.5% N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 32.5%
24 Aug Hendal for Tportal 25.8% 10% 9.3% 4% 7.5% 1.3% N/A 3.3% 1.8% 2.3% 2.3% N/A 31.3%
3 Aug CRO Demoskop 22.1% N/A 14.1% 11.1% 11.8% N/A N/A 4.8% 6.3% 2% N/A N/A 15.8%


Hypothetical second round match-ups

Candidate Party 17 Nov 2009
Puls for Nova TV
19 Nov 2009
Mediana Fides
for Jutarnji list
28 Nov 2009
Puls for RTL Televizija

and Večernji list
  Ivo Josipović SDP 54% 47.4% 55%
  Milan Bandić Independent 42% 36.1% 35%


Candidate Party 17 Nov 2009
Puls for Nova TV
19 Nov 2009
Mediana Fides
for Jutarnji list
28 Nov 2009
Puls for RTL Televizija

and Večernji list
  Ivo Josipović SDP 51% 45.7% 51%
  Nadan Vidošević Independent 41% 34.2% 35%


Candidate Party 17 Nov 2009
Puls for Nova TV
28 Nov 2009
Puls for RTL Televizija

and Večernji list
  Ivo Josipović SDP 63% 67%
  Andrija Hebrang HDZ 30% 22%


Candidate Party 17 Nov 2009
Puls for Nova TV
19 Nov 2009
Mediana Fides
for Jutarnji list
28 Nov 2009
Puls for RTL Televizija

and Večernji list
  Nadan Vidošević Independent 52% 42.8% 47%
  Milan Bandić Independent 39% 21% 38%


Candidate Party 19 Nov 2009
Mediana Fides
for Jutarnji list
  Milan Bandić Independent 53.5%
  Andrija Hebrang HDZ 19.5%


References

  1. Net.hr, 2009-07-12, "SDP odabrao: Ivu za predsjednika!"
  2. Javno.hr, 2009-09-26, "Hvala mojoj stranci što me kandidirala"
  3. GradPula.com, 2009-07-12, "Damir Kajin kandidat IDS za predsjednika Republike"
  4. http://jutarnji.hr/vijesti/clanak/art-2009,9,2,,174864.jl
  5. Net.hr, 2009-11-03, "Ljudi, Bandić konačno objavljuje kandidaturu!"
  6. http://www.libela.org/vijesti/816-i-vesna-skare-ozbolt-u-utrci-za-pantovcak/
  7. http://www.index.hr/vijesti/clanak/index-doznaje-dragan-primorac-krenuo-u-predsjednicku-utrku-za-pantovcak/449844.aspx
  8. http://www.r-1.hr/nadan_vido%C5%A1evic_izbacen_iz_hdz_a/29819_4
  9. http://www.vecernji.hr/vijesti/bandic-izbacen-sdp-a-sljemenu-objavio-kandidaturu-clanak-45342
  10. http://www.net.hr/vijesti/hrvatska/page/2009/11/13/0320006.html
  11. http://izbori.tportal.hr/kandidati/43735/Bandic-dobio-potporu-Glavaseva-HDSSB-a.html
  12. http://www.jutarnji.hr/josipovic-skupio-117--tisuca--a-hebrang-cak-140-tisuca-potpisa/353732/
  13. http://www.jutarnji.hr/josipovic-skupio-117--tisuca--a-hebrang-cak-140-tisuca-potpisa/353732/
  14. http://www.savjest.com/vijesti1.php?s_vjest_id=801
  15. http://m.dnevnik.hr/?article_id=105484
  16. http://www.seebiz.eu/hr/politika/hsp-na-kraju-ipak-za-dragana-primorca!%3F,61376.html
  17. http://www.seebiz.eu/hr/politika/vesna-pusic-pobijedit-cu-u-drugom-krugu,61162.html
  18. http://metro-portal.hr/vijesti/hrvatska/predsjednicki-izbori/i-vesna-skare-ozbolt-predala-potpise-dip-u
  19. http://www.nacional.hr/clanak/71475/vidosevic-predao-dip-u-kandidaturu-za-predsjednika-republike-s-31000-potpisa
  20. http://www.net.hr/vijesti/hrvatska/page/2009/11/17/0361006.html?pos=n1
  21. http://josip-jurcevic.net/kampanja/
  22. http://www.borismiksic.net/files2/Kandidatura.pdf
  23. http://ns1.vjesnik.com/Html/2005/01/05/Clanak.asp?r=sta&c=1
  24. http://www.miroslav-tudjman.com
  25. http://slavkovuksic.com/
  26. http://izbori.tportal.hr/kandidati/40597/Prvi-i-jedini-manjinski-predsjednicki-kandidat.html
  27. Glas Istre Denis Latin kandidat za predsjednika države, June 23, 2009,.
  28. Vijesti Denis Latin odustao od kandidature za predsjednika, Sep 11, 2009
  29. http://www.bozidarvukasovic.eu
  30. http://bozidarvukasovic.eu/zato-boidar-vukasovi.html
  31. http://www.nacionalnidemokrati.com/clanak.php?id=20090607123256
  32. http://www.nacionalnidemokrati.com/index.php?cat=302
  33. http://metro-portal.hr/vijesti/hrvatska/predsjednicki-izbori/predano-19-kandidatura-za-predsjednika-hrvatske/
  34. http://www.vecernji.hr/lifestyle/zbog-ukradenih-glasova-necu-predati-svoju-kandidaturu-predsjednicu-clanak-51624
  35. http://www.net.hr/zvijezde/page/2009/11/16/0706006.html
  36. eZadar Stjepan Gnječ najavio kandidaturu za predsjednika RH, Oct 11, 2009
  37. eZadar Utrka za Pantovčak: Kandidirao se i Braco Cigan!, Oct 1, 2009
  38. http://www.javno.com/hr-hrvatska/dosta-sam-sutio-kandidirat-cu-se-za-predsjednika_269602
  39. http://www.hnd.hr/hr/raspored/
  40. http://izbori.tportal.hr/kandidati/41141/Lovac-na-grdelinec-predsjednik-bez-place.html
  41. http://www.ante-gotovac.com/
  42. http://www.24sata.hr/news/donio-samo-jedan-potpis-nije-ga-podrzala-niti-zena/145036/
  43. http://www.javno.com/hr-hrvatska/foto--izbori-bez-saveza-komunista_94771
  44. http://www.tportal.hr/vijesti/hrvatska/39330/Demokratska-stranka-zena-kandidirala-muskarca.html
  45. http://www.b92.net/info/vesti/index.php?yyyy=2009&mm=11&dd=17&nav_category=167&nav_id=393129
  46. http://izbori.dnevnik.hr/clanak/vijesti/doznajte-tko-bi-bio-predsjednik-da-je-danas-drugi-krug.html



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