Petrocurrency is a
portmanteau neologismused with three distinct meanings, though
often confused:
- Trading surpluses of oil producing nations, originally called
petrodollars
- Currencies of oil producing nations which tend to rise in value
against other currencies when the price of
oil rises (and fall when it falls).
- Currencies used as a unit of
account to price oil in the international market.
Oil producers' trading surpluses
With the large rise in oil prices in the 1970s, there was concern
that the world economy might contract if the oil producers
extracted money and failed to
recycle it back to oil
consumers.
With a similar rise in prices at the start of the 21st century,
more of these oil surpluses have been reinvested through
sovereign wealth funds. Two early
examples were the
Kuwait
Investment Authority and
the Petroleum Fund of
Norway.
Currencies correlated with oil prices
The
pound sterling has sometimes been
regarded as a petrocurrency thanks to
North Sea oil exports. The
Australian dollar does not fall in this
category, since
Australia does not export
a significant amount of oil.
The
Dutch guilder was regarded as a
petrocurrency thanks to its large natural gas and
North Sea oil exports. This caused the Dutch
Guilder to strengthen severely in the 1970s when the OPEC started
their price hikes. As a result of this strengthening industrial
manufacturing and services were crowded out and became
non-competitive on world markets. A phenomenon that is often
referred to in economics literature as
Dutch disease.
The
Canadian dollar is increasingly
viewed as a petrocurrency. As the price of oil rises, oil-related
export revenues rise, and thus constitute a larger component of
Canadian exports. Thus, the movements of the Canadian dollar have
become increasingly correlated with the price of oil. For example,
the exchange rate of Canadian dollars for Japanese yen (99% of
Japan's oil is imported) is 85% correlated with crude prices.
Currencies used to trade oil
Since the agreements of 1971 and 1973, OPEC oil is exclusively
quoted in US dollars. This created a permanent demand for dollars
on the international exchange markets.
As of 2005, OPEC
continues to trade in petrodollars, but some OPEC members (such as
Iran
and Venezuela
) have been pushing for a switch to the euro.
Since the beginning of 2003, Iran has required euro in payment of
exports toward Asia and Europe, though prices are still expressed
in US dollars
[68252].
Iran is planning to open an International Oil Bourse (IOB, exchange),
on the free trade zone on the island of Kish
, for the
express purpose of trading oil priced in other currencies,
including euros.
On May 10,
2006 Russian
president
Vladimir Putin announced the project
for the creation of an Oil Exchange denominated in rubles to trade oil and gas. The purpose of
trading in rubles is to convert it into an international currency
which would also be used to pay other commodities and goods. The
Oil Exchange would operate from 2007 and will give rise to the
petroruble as those countries that buy oil and gas from Russia will
have to acquire them and use it as reserve.
References
- [68253],
- The Iranian line in the sand, Dan Crawford, The
Republic (Vancouver
), August 18 to 31,
2005
- Kish Oil Exchange Planned, Iran Daily, January 24, 2006
- A frenzied Persian new year, March 22, 2006, Asia Times
- Sterling and the EMS In for a penny
- RTS bourse to launch domestic oil futures at start
of 2007, May 22, 2006
- Putin proposes creation of ruble-denominated oil,
gas exchange, May 10, 2006.
- Dollar too unstable to be reliable - Russian
minister. April 21, 2006.
- Vladimir Putin and the rise of the petro-ruble
External links
- PetroTalk.com Portal for petro related Articles,
Discussion, Links and more
- Washington Report
- Petrodollar or Petroeuro? A new source of global conflict, by Cóilín Nunan
- Petrodollar Theories of the War
- MP3 of interview with Carol Brightman author of
"Total Insecurity: The Myth of American Omnipotence" in which
Saddam Hussein's switch to the euro is discussed
- A Look At The World's Economy (December 2000)
from CBS News
- Petrodollar Warfare Interview with William R.
Clark with Jim Puplava of the
Financial Sense Newshour
- IMF warns trade gap could bring down
dollar
- Petrodollar Warfare: Dollars, Euros and the
Upcoming Iranian Oil Bourse
- History of Oil video done by Robert Newman A
vaudeville type story which talks about petrodollar story in the
context of the history of oil
- The beginning of the end for petrodollar by Bulent
Gokay, 15 March, 2006.
- Cost, abuse and danger of the dollar by Rudo de
Ruijter, Mathaba News, March 7, 2007.
- In a graphic illustration of the new world order,
Arab states have launched secret moves with China, Russia and
France to stop using the US currency for oil trading
See also