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United States Senate election in New Mexico, 2008: Map

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The 2008 New Mexico Senate Election was held on November 4, 2008 with Tom Udall the winner. The election was considered an open contest due to incumbent Republican Senator Pete Domenici's retirement. All three of New Mexico's U.S. Representatives (Democrat Tom Udall and Republicans Steve Pearce and Heather Wilson) chose to retire from the U.S. House of Representatives in order to run for the seat. On June 3, 2008, Udall won the Democratic primary and Pearce won the Republican primary.

In February 2008 CQ Politics changed the rating of the election from 'No Clear Favorite' to 'Leans Democratic' citing polls. In June, Senator John Ensign of Nevada, the chairman of the National Republican Senatorial Committee, considered New Mexico to be one of the top ten most competitive Senate races. At the end of August, The Cook Political Report rated the race as 'Lean Democratic'. At the end of September, The Rothenberg Political Report rated the race 'Likely Takeover'. Udall ended up winning with 61.2 percent of the vote.

Background

In February 2007 Domenici indicated his intention to run for re-election. By October 2007, he changed his mind, stating that because of the progression of a medical condition, he would not seek a seventh term. Domenici also lost his chairmanship after Republicans lost control of the Senate in the 2006 Senate election, which may have inclined him against running. After Domenici announced he was not running, Democratic Governor Bill Richardson was considered a leading candidate for the seat, but in October he affirmed his commitment to his presidential nomination campaign.

In October Albuquerque Mayor Martin Chavez entered the race for the Democratic nomination. In early November five-term Democratic Rep. Tom Udall entered the race. On December 7 Chavez withdrew from the race, saying "While I deeply appreciate all the support I have received, it has become very clear to me that Democrats should not be divided in the upcoming election."

Udall raised more than $801,000 prior to November 29. Wilson had slightly less, including a November Washington fundraiser with Vice President Dick Cheney that netted $110,000, bringing her total to about $750,000.

On June 3, 2008 Pearce and Udall won their respective nomination contests.

Controversy

Domenici and Wilson are both being investigated by the Senate for their roles in the dismissal of prosecutor David Iglesias. This may have affected Wilson's chances in the 2008 election.

In late October Pearce made 130,000 automated phone calls, which led Wilson to "cry foul." At issue was Pearce's use of the phone calls to justify his opposition to the State Children's Health Insurance Program (SCHIP) bill. The Wilson campaign claimed that "Pearce violated House ethics by urging those he called to contact him through his official, non-campaign phone number or check out his official, non-campaign Web site."

Money

The National Republican Senatorial Committee (NRSC) attempted to defend 23 Senate seats up for election in November. Committee chair Senator John Ensign identified the 10 most competitive Republican seats in June 2008. He was asked about the two Republican seats most likely to turn Democratic, Virginia and New Mexico. Ensign did not directly say whether the NRSC was considering walking away to work on other seats that can be won, but he said, "You don’t waste money on races that don’t need it or you can’t win.”

Debates

The candidates have agreed to three televised debates: October 15 on KOB-TVmarker, October 18 on KRQEmarker and October 26 on KOAT-TVmarker. The AARP will co-sponsor the second debate and the Albuquerque Journal will co-sponsor the final debate. They will also appear together on Meet the Press in the fall.

Candidates

Democratic Party



Republican Party

Defeated in Primary


Polling

Republican Primary

Source Date Pearce (R) Wilson (R)
SurveyUSA May 15, 2008 49% 46%
SurveyUSA November 16–18, 2007 37% 56%


General Election

Pearce (R) v Udall (D)
Source Date Pearce (R) Udall (D)
Survey USA October 31, 2008 42% 56%
Rasmussen Reports October 28, 2008 41% 56%
Rasmussen Reports October 13, 2008 37% 57%
Survey USA October 13, 2008 40% 58%
Rasmussen Reports October 1, 2008 41% 55%
Survey USA September 29–30, 2008 39% 58%
Public Policy Polling September 19, 2008 37% 57%
Survey USA September 16, 2008 41% 56%
Rasmussen Reports September 8, 2008 44% 51%
Rasmussen Reports August 20, 2008 44% 52%
Rasmussen Reports July 24, 2008 35% 61%
SurveyUSA May 15, 2008 36% 60%
Rasmussen Reports May 14, 2008 37% 53%
Rasmussen Reports April 10, 2008 40% 54%
Rasmussen Reports February 29, 2008 42% 50%
New Mexico State University February 11, 2008 31% 53%
SurveyUSA November 16–18, 2007 40% 54%
Research 2000 November 5–7, 2007 37% 54%
SurveyUSA October 27–30, 2007 40% 56%
Fairbank, Maslin, Maullin & Associates October 23–27, 2007 33% 50%
SurveyUSA October 5–7, 2007 37% 55%


Election Results

Republican Primary

Unofficial results [416926]:

General Election

References

  1. Election.KOB.com - Pearce narrowly wins U.S. Senate nomination
  2. Race Ratings Chart: Senate CQ Politics
  3. Kate Phillips, G.O.P. Leader Maps Senate Elections The New York Times, June 13, 2008
  4. 2008 Senate Race Chart The Cook Race Ratings, August 21, 2008
  5. 2008 Senate Ratings The Rothenberg Political Report, September 14, 2008
  6. CNN.com
  7. Senate candidates agree on 3 NM televised debates AP, August 17, 2008


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